Item | Value |
---|---|
Country | United States |
Facebook username | metaculus |
YouTube username | @metaculus4776 |
Twitter username | @metaculus |
Twitter username | Metaculus |
Website | https://www.metaculus.com |
Team page | https://www.metaculus.com/about/ |
Launch date | 2015-09-01 |
Wikipedia page | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metaculus |
Last recorded date when we made major data updates for this org | 2024-08-30 |
Donations List Website (data still preliminary) |
Hover over a name to see the position and date range. This table only includes positions where at least the start date is known. The positions count can count the same person multiple times if they held different positions; similarly, the list of staff may include the same person multiple times if they held more than one position during a single year. For each year, a person is included if they were at the organization for any part of the year; this means the actual staff count at any point during the year can be lower (or higher, if some staff held multiple positions in a single year).
The following table lists some dates and people who were at the organization on the given date (namely, the start of the year). The table may not list every person who worked for the organization (e.g. they could have joined and left in the middle of a single year). This table excludes associates, interns, advisors, and board members.
This table shows the full change history of positions. Each row corresponds to at least one addition or removal of a position. Additions are in green and subtractions are in red. If a position name changed, it is listed simultaneously as an addition (of the new name) and removal (of the old name) and colored yellow. Additionally there are faded variants of each color for visited links.
Date | Number of positions | Number of positions added | Number of positions removed | Positions added | Positions removed |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014-10-01 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Carroll Wainwright | |
2015-01-01 | 2 | 1 | 0 | David Levine | |
2015-09-01 | 4 | 2 | 0 | Anthony Aguirre, Greg Laughlin | |
2016-08-01 | 5 | 1 | 0 | Kris Kitchen | |
2017-11-01 | 6 | 1 | 0 | Christian Williams | |
2018-06-01 | 6 | 1 | -1 | Christian Williams | Christian Williams |
2018-07-01 | 7 | 1 | 0 | Tamay Besiroglu | |
2018-11-01 | 8 | 1 | 0 | Jacob Lagerros | |
2019-03-01 | 7 | 0 | -1 | Christian Williams | |
2019-05-01 | 6 | 0 | -1 | Jacob Lagerros | |
2019-12-01 | 7 | 1 | 0 | Matej Vrzala | |
2020-03-01 | 9 | 2 | 0 | Daniel Sluder, Juan Cambeiro | |
2020-05-01 | 10 | 1 | 0 | Alyssa Stevens | |
2020-06-01 | 11 | 1 | 0 | Gaia Dempsey | |
2020-07-01 | 12 | 1 | 0 | Alex Lawsen | |
2020-08-01 | 11 | 0 | -1 | Daniel Sluder | |
2020-09-01 | 11 | 1 | -1 | Alyssa Stevens | Alyssa Stevens |
2020-10-30 | 12 | 1 | 0 | Steven Schkolne | |
2020-11-01 | 13 | 1 | 0 | Matthew Barnett | |
2021-01-01 | 13 | 1 | -1 | Carroll Wainwright | Matthew Barnett |
2021-08-01 | 13 | 1 | -1 | Tom Liptay | Carroll Wainwright |
2021-12-01 | 14 | 1 | 0 | Nikos Bosse | |
2022-04-01 | 16 | 2 | 0 | Atakan Seçkin, Rudolf Ordoyne | |
2022-04-22 | 15 | 0 | -1 | Tamay Besiroglu | |
2022-05-30 | 20 | 5 | 0 | Burak Nehbit, Christian Williams, Sylvain Chevalier, Tamay Besiroglu, Welton Chang | |
2022-06-01 | 18 | 0 | -2 | Alex Lawsen, Alyssa Stevens | |
2022-08-01 | 19 | 1 | 0 | Ryan Beck | |
2022-09-01 | 19 | 1 | -1 | Tom Liptay | Tom Liptay |
2022-10-01 | 20 | 1 | 0 | Nate Morrison | |
2022-12-01 | 21 | 1 | 0 | Luke Sabor | |
2023-01-01 | 20 | 1 | -2 | Rudolf Ordoyne | Matej Vrzala, Rudolf Ordoyne |
2023-03-01 | 21 | 1 | 0 | Will Aldred | |
2023-07-01 | 20 | 0 | -1 | Juan Cambeiro | |
2023-08-01 | 21 | 2 | -1 | Juan Cambeiro, Nate Morrison | Nate Morrison |
2023-10-01 | 21 | 1 | -1 | Juan Cambeiro | Juan Cambeiro |
2024-01-01 | 22 | 1 | 0 | Elis Popescu | |
2024-04-01 | 23 | 2 | -1 | Deger Turan, Gaia Dempsey | Gaia Dempsey |
2024-07-01 | 23 | 1 | -1 | Tom Liptay | Tom Liptay |
Person | Title | Start date | End date | Employment type | Source | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atakan Seçkin | Head of Design | 2022-04-01 | full-time | [1], [2] | ||
Nikos Bosse | Research Coordinator | 2021-12-01 | [3], [2] | |||
Will Aldred | Research Analyst - AI Forecasting | 2023-03-01 | full-time | [4], [2] | ||
Luke Sabor | Software Engineer | 2022-12-01 | full-time | [5], [2] | ||
Sylvain Chevalier | Technical Product Manager | 2022-05-30 | [6], [2] | |||
Deger Turan | Chief Executive Officer | 2024-04-01 | full-time | [7], [2] | ||
Christian Williams | Director of Communications & Data | 2022-05-30 | [6], [2] | |||
Elis Popescu | Senior Software Engineer | 2024-01-01 | [6], [2] | |||
Tom Liptay | Director of Forecasting | 2024-07-01 | full-time | [8], [2] | ||
Rudolf Ordoyne | Forecasting Analyst & Frontend Developer | 2023-01-01 | full-time | [9], [2] | ||
Nate Morrison | Chief Operating Officer | 2023-08-01 | [10], [2] | |||
Ryan Beck | Forecasting Program Coordinator | 2022-08-01 | full-time | [9], [2] | ||
Anthony Aguirre | Founder & Chairman of the Board | 2015-09-01 | board member | [11], [2] | ||
Greg Laughlin | Founder, Research & Development Fellow | 2015-09-01 | [12], [2] | |||
Carroll Wainwright | Cofounder, data scientist, and software engineer | 2014-10-01 | [13], [14], [2] | |||
David Levine | Co-founder | 2015-01-01 | board member | [13] | ||
Gaia Dempsey | Board Member & Special Advisor | 2024-04-01 | advisor | [15], [2] | ||
Juan Cambeiro | Advisor | 2023-10-01 | contractor | [16], [2] | ||
Tamay Besiroglu | Advisor | 2022-05-30 | advisor | [6], [17] | ||
Welton Chang | Advisor | 2022-05-30 | advisor | [6], [17] | ||
Burak Nehbit | Advisor | 2022-05-30 | advisor | [6], [17] | ||
Steven Schkolne | Advisor | 2020-10-30 | advisor | [18], [6], [17] | ||
Kris Kitchen | Consultant | 2016-08-01 | [19] | |||
Jacob Lagerros | Project lead: AI forecasting | 2018-11-01 | 2019-05-01 | [20] | ||
Alyssa Stevens | Student intern | 2020-05-01 | 2020-09-01 | intern | [21] | |
Alyssa Stevens | Product Marketing Associate | 2020-09-01 | 2022-06-01 | part-time | [13], [21] | |
Daniel Sluder | Content Coordinator | 2020-03-01 | 2020-08-01 | [22] | ||
Matthew Barnett | Data Science & Software Engineering | 2020-11-01 | 2021-01-01 | [13], [23] | ||
Matej Vrzala | Project Engineer | 2019-12-01 | 2023-01-01 | [13], [24] | ||
Alex Lawsen | Community Moderator | 2020-07-01 | 2022-06-01 | part-time | [25] | |
Tom Liptay | Program & Operations Director | 2021-08-01 | 2022-09-01 | full-time | [8] | |
Tom Liptay | Product Director | 2022-09-01 | 2024-07-01 | full-time | [8] | |
Rudolf Ordoyne | Forecasting Analyst | 2022-04-01 | 2023-01-01 | full-time | [9], [2] | |
Nate Morrison | Chief of Staff | 2022-10-01 | 2023-08-01 | full-time | [10] | |
Christian Williams | Growth Marketer | 2017-11-01 | 2018-06-01 | [26], [2] | ||
Christian Williams | Growth Lead | 2018-06-01 | 2019-03-01 | [26], [2] | ||
Carroll Wainwright | Chief technology officer | 2021-01-01 | 2021-08-01 | [13], [14] | ||
Gaia Dempsey | Chief Executive Officer | 2020-06-01 | 2024-04-01 | full-time | [13], [15] | |
Juan Cambeiro | Biosciences Analyst | 2020-03-01 | 2023-07-01 | contractor | [13], [16] | |
Juan Cambeiro | Biosecurity Program Manager | 2023-08-01 | 2023-10-01 | contractor | [13], [16] | |
Tamay Besiroglu | Strategy & Operations Lead | 2018-07-01 | 2022-04-22 | [27], [28] |
Name | Creation date | Description |
---|
Title | Publication date | Author | Publisher | Affected organizations | Affected people | Document scope | Cause area | Notes |
---|
Title | Publication date | Author | Publisher | Affected organizations | Affected people | Affected agendas | Notes |
---|
Organization | Number of people in common | List of people in common |
---|---|---|
Epoch | 2 | Tamay Besiroglu, Matej Vrzala |
Future of Humanity Institute | 2 | Tamay Besiroglu, Jacob Lagerros |
Future of Life Foundation | 1 | Anthony Aguirre |
Future of Life Institute | 1 | Anthony Aguirre |
OpenAI | 1 | Carroll Wainwright |
Partnership on AI | 1 | Carroll Wainwright |
AI Objectives Institute | 1 | Gaia Dempsey |
Centre for the Governance of AI | 1 | Tamay Besiroglu |
Lightcone Infrastructure | 1 | Jacob Lagerros |
Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute | 1 | Jacob Lagerros |
Epoch | 1 | Matthew Barnett |
80,000 Hours | 1 | Alex Lawsen |
Open Philanthropy | 1 | Alex Lawsen |