Information for Metaculus

Table of contents

Basic information

Item Value

Staff count by year

Hover over a name to see the position and date range. This table only includes positions where at least the start date is known. The positions count can count the same person multiple times if they held different positions. For each year, a person is included if they were at the organization for any part of the year; this means the actual staff count at any point during the year can be lower.

Year Positions count Researchers General staff Associates Board members Advisors
2014 1 Carroll Wainwright
2015 2 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright
2016 3 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Kris Kitchen
2017 3 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Kris Kitchen
2018 5 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Jacob Lagerros, Kris Kitchen, Tamay Besiroglu
2019 5 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Jacob Lagerros, Kris Kitchen, Tamay Besiroglu
2020 9 Alysa Stevens, Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Daniel Sluder, Gaia Dempsey, Juan Cambeiro, Kris Kitchen, Tamay Besiroglu Alysa Stevens
2021 8 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Daniel Sluder, Gaia Dempsey, Juan Cambeiro, Kris Kitchen, Tamay Besiroglu Alysa Stevens

Number of full-time staff at the beginning each year

The following table lists some dates and people who were at the organization on the given date (namely, the start of the year). The table may not list every person who worked for the organization (e.g. they could have joined and left in the middle of a single year). This table excludes associates, interns, advisors, and board members.

Date Staff count Staff
2015-01-01 1 Carroll Wainwright
2016-01-01 2 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright
2017-01-01 3 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Kris Kitchen
2018-01-01 3 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Kris Kitchen
2019-01-01 5 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Jacob Lagerros, Kris Kitchen, Tamay Besiroglu
2020-01-01 4 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Kris Kitchen, Tamay Besiroglu
2021-01-01 7 Anthony Aguirre, Carroll Wainwright, Daniel Sluder, Gaia Dempsey, Juan Cambeiro, Kris Kitchen, Tamay Besiroglu

Full history of additions and subtractions

This table shows the full change history of positions. Each row corresponds to at least one addition or removal of a position. Additions are in green and subtractions are in red. If a position name changed, it is listed simultaneously as an addition (of the new name) and removal (of the old name) and colored yellow. Additionally there are faded variants of each color for visited links.

Date Number of positions Number of positions added Number of positions removed Positions added Positions removed
2 2 0 David Levine, Greg Laughlin
2014-10-01 3 1 0 Carroll Wainwright
2015-09-01 4 1 0 Anthony Aguirre
2016-08-01 5 1 0 Kris Kitchen
2018-07-01 6 1 0 Tamay Besiroglu
2018-11-01 7 1 0 Jacob Lagerros
2019-05-01 6 0 -1 Jacob Lagerros
2020-03-01 8 2 0 Daniel Sluder, Juan Cambeiro
2020-05-01 9 1 0 Alysa Stevens
2020-06-01 10 1 0 Gaia Dempsey
2020-09-01 10 1 -1 Alysa Stevens Alysa Stevens

List of people (12 positions)

Person Title Start date End date Employment type Source Notes
Gaia Dempsey Chief Executive Officer 2020-06-01 full-time [1]
Anthony Aguirre Founder 2015-09-01 [2]
Kris Kitchen Consultant 2016-08-01 [3]
Jacob Lagerros Project lead: AI forecasting 2018-11-01 2019-05-01 [4]
Tamay Besiroglu Strategy & Operations Lead 2018-07-01 [5]
Alysa Stevens Student intern 2020-05-01 2020-09-01 intern [6]
Alysa Stevens Product Marketing Associate 2020-09-01 part-time [6]
Juan Cambeiro Consultant 2020-03-01 [7]
Daniel Sluder Content Coordinator 2020-03-01 [8]
David Levine Founder, Chief Financial Officer [9]
Greg Laughlin Founder, Research & Development Fellow [9]
Carroll Wainwright Cofounder, data scientist, and software engineer 2014-10-01 [10], [9]

Products (0 products)

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Organization documents (0 documents)

Title Publication date Author Publisher Affected organizations Affected people Document scope Cause area Notes

Documents (0 documents)

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Similar organizations

Organization Number of people in common List of people in common
Future of Life Institute 1 Anthony Aguirre
Future of Humanity Institute 1 Tamay Besiroglu